| Notes on the Atrocities Like a 100-watt radio station, broadcasting to the dozens... |
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Saturday, November 29, 2003 [Zipping off for an impromtu trip to Seattle. So I leave you with a little Friday Satire--a day late.]
Friday, November 28, 2003 Maybe we can all put down our swords long enough to regard Krugman's column today neutrally. Digging around for economic positives, he pointed at the growth of developing economies as a result of globalization. It's not a position a lot of lefties are that comfortable with, but I strongly agree with his main thesis. As we know, I'm no ecomonist, but I do have some personal experience with developing economies. Between 1988 and 1999, I spent about two years over four visits in India (studying not econ, but religion and language). From personal experience, I've seen the benefits of free markets.
Thursday, November 27, 2003 What do lefties have to be thankful for? Look beyond the obvious blessings in our own lives, and there's not a whole lot (certainly not that Green Bay game!). You can parse this question a lot of ways to drum up some good news, but I'd like to play it a little differently. Instead of praising the good bones of the country (the Constitution) or the good candidates we have on our side (gooooooo Dennis!), the thing I'm thankful for isn't even a widely acknowledged phenomenon.
Wednesday, November 26, 2003 One of the most senior British judges has criticized China's treatment of prisoners. He said on Tuesday that they were being held: "beyond the rule of law, beyond the protection of any courts. The procedural rules do not prohibit the use of force to coerce the prisoners to confess. It's not quite torture but at close as you can get. As a lawyer brought up to admire the ideals of ... democracy and justice I would have to say that I regard this as a monstrous failure of justice." The judge is considering urging sanctions on the rogue nation. "It may be appropriate to pose a question - ought our government to make plain publicly and unambiguously our condemnation of [this] utter lawlessness." Just kidding. He was actually talking about the US's treatment of prisoners at Guantanamo. Stinkin' Brits--what kinda lousy friends are you, huh? Oh, that's right, you're our only friends. You know what would cheer me up? A nice screening of "Bad Santa." posted by Jeff | 12:52 PM |All right, I'm a dirty, rotten liar. Not only did I not manage to stay away from politics, but here I am posting again. It began innocently: I just stopped by Site Meter to see what the hits were looking like (I don't know about other bloggers, but I'm drawn irresistably to see who's coming by the blog), and then I noticed a fair amount of traffic from Nathan Newman's site. Another innocent click (I'm on the slippery slope now) and I see that he's posted a response to my response to his post yesterday. (Clear?) So here we are. Emma joins in disputing the idea that the Medicare bill is anything good for progressives, citing the popular E.J. Dionne essay a lot of folks are linking to. She sees the loss on the bill as being "about kicking the prone body of the Democrats in the head."
Nathan's point is perfectly reasonable, as is the analysis he links to by Liberal Oasis. But the reason I'm not ultimately convinced by it is the same reason I'm in a grim mood today--I think the rules have changed. Time and again, Republicans have shown they'll pass legislation that will damage the country and be wildly unpopular so long as it solidifies their position in power. Tax cuts that benefit their donors, regressive legislation that damages workers, the environment, and free trade but benefits PACs and corporate donors, a cynical war that plays a political role and benefits private contractors long connected to the White House (and who are, of course, donors): none of it makes sense by the old calculation of poll-based victory. But they don't care about popularity.
I'm not sure why my radio is tuned into NPR. Waking up to news of the Bush Administration's activities is a kind of sado-masochism. This morning, news that the Labor Department is putting the screws to unions--in what amounts to a bureaucratic assault. Death by paperwork. I then followed up this fine bit of self-flaggelation by reading the lovely LA Times' Wal-Mart series. This of course follows the hangover I got from Medicare debacle . All in all, a damn fine week.
Tuesday, November 25, 2003 This is a bit obscure, but if you're dying for a description of Oregon tax and budgetary issues, I've got one at the Oregon Blog. It's one reason posting has been a bit skimpy here--I'm spending a lot of time blogging for even fewer people. I'm an eejit. posted by Jeff | 4:10 PM |Some folks think the Medicare bill isn't so bad. Not to dispute with the estimable Drum and Newman, but it's not only bad--it's a nightmare.
If anyone doubted the rules had changed, House Republican leaders ended all illusions in the early hours of Saturday morning by holding open a 15-minute roll call vote for an unprecedented two hours and 51 minutes. At the end of the normal time for voting, Republican leaders faced defeat on the drug bill by a two-vote margin. Eventually, two Republicans were hammered into switching their votes....
Normally I don't want to look like an alarmist, but now it's time to be alarmed. The calculation has changed, folks. Darth is in power, and the Empire is marching (on those spindly walker-legs) right at the rebels. We've got two choices: pull ourselves together and fight ,or continue to screw around and be wiped out. Seriously.
I've been following the MSNBC candidate "embeds" fairly closely. They have a bit of a unscripted bloggish quality. For the most part, following around a candidate has had the effect of turning the embedded reporter into a bit of a booster--or at least a sympathizer. So it was with interest that I noticed the Kerry piece this morning regarding last night's debate: I spent just a few moments after the debate with Kerry. I asked him how it went and he gave the obligatory “really well” answer. Then he said he wished he had had more time to talk about the issues. I asked him what he felt he missed and he said “talking about terror.” David Wade explained that he wanted to talk more about terrorism and his unique credentials to be commander in chief in this post-Sept. 11 world. As for the new, improved John Kerry, he was more focused on special interests and health care but I thought his appearance at this debate was like those in the past -- not a winner or a loser. Oy. That's a bit, ah, neutral, isn't it? I keep seeing articles talking about how Clark's history isn't littered with happy colleagues--but how about Kerry's campaign staff (and this embed)? Not particularly wowed by the senator, it seems.
Barbarians at the Gates: Royal officials are now in touch with the Queen's insurers and Prime Minister Tony Blair to find out who will pick up the massive repair bill. Palace staff said they had never seen the Queen so angry as when she saw how her perfectly-mantained lawns had been churned up after being turned into helipads with three giant H landing markings for the Bush visit.
Monday, November 24, 2003 Update on the American Consensus Documentary
You might have noticed that I've spent the day gingerly avoiding any talk of this Medicare bill. Trying to polish the apple by talking about draft dodging and Kucinich's immanent selection as the Dem candidate. It's because I'm a little to sick to write about it. (That's a metaphoric sickness, unlike the real sicknesses people will be more vulnerable to after this horrid beast goes through.) My own senator, who was before that my congressman, and who was before that a celebrated local politician in the People's Republic of Portland--even he couldn't be counted on to oppose this bill. (That's Ron Wyden, by the way.) Hesiod does a pretty good job of characterizing my feelings: R.I.P. DEMOCRATIC PARTY: Well...I may as well hang up my keyboard, and close down this blog.
The Democratic Party is in such disarray that the DNC is trying to lobby citizens to sign a petition blocking the legislation. Addressed to Bush and the GOP, the petition reads: Your Medicare privatization bill is a raw deal for America's seniors. I oppose your attempts to undermine Medicare through privatization, and I demand real health care reform and a real prescription drug benefit. It's time for you to scrap your bill written by the big drug companies and the big insurance companies and start over. Take the lead from Democrats and fight for real reform. Apparently the Dems didn't get the memo. Nice, the national party is trying to organize the people to oppose a horrible piece of legislation that the party itself doesn't even have the cojones to oppose. That's disarray. Even before the debate, aforementioned Wyden, along with Daschle and Feinstein, had declared they supported the legislation, so forget about hoping for a filibuster.
This morning, Josh Marshall notes that he's surprised at Dick Gephardt's strong numbers. When Gephardt threw his hat in the ring last November I mocked him rather mercilessly. But the biggest news I've seen of late was the early November Des Moines Register poll which showed Gephardt opening up a 7 point lead over Dean.
I'm not surprised. Even losing some support among unions, it was clear Gephardt was going to run a strong campaign. As much as we focus on polls, it's wise to remember that polls reflect far less well than infastructure--and Gephardt has a huge advantage there. In early October, I ranked the candidates based on how well they'd do in the primaries and general election (compared to each other). I had Gep ranked number two in the primaries. I think that still applies.
On Clark, a few weeks back I said that Clark had no campaign, no message, not no nuthin', but close. Now, he finally seems to have one. He's running ads, showing up on the shows -- the fundraising is decent. He gave a solid foreign policy speech and, in general, his operation is putting together a clear and consistent message. Below are revised rankings. First number is rank in the primaries, second is the rank in the general. For what it's worth, I think the only candidates who wouldn't beat Bush are Lieberman, Sharpton, and Braun.
Dean has admitted to dodging the draft. Is this a serious problem? Howard Dean, the front-runner for the Democratic presidential nomination, has admitted dodging the Vietnam draft, obtaining a medical deferment for a back condition and then spending 10 months skiing.
My guess is that this will be the most damaging in the primaries, but probably not particularly so even there. And in a general election, you could make the argument that it will work to his advantage. As the war in Iraq grows worse by the day, and stories of poor treatment of soldiers become more common, parallels between Iraq and Vietnam will become increasingly obvious. This will bring into sharp focus the judgment of a government who didn't seriously consider an optional war. Dean can point out that bad policy is bad policy, and it's not unreasonable for young men and women to want to avoid having to pay the price for the failures of arrogant chickenhawks. And of course, if Bush presses the draft-dodging issue too hard, he will open himself to criticisms of his own embarrassing military record. So I think Dean will weather this storm.
Saturday, November 22, 2003 There's quite a debate going on about the Dems and gay marriage at Open Source Politics, should you care to weigh in.
More than three dozen of President Bush's major fundraisers are affiliated with companies that stand to benefit from the passage of two central pieces of the administration's legislative agenda: the energy and Medicare bills.
This is, of course, not unreported and has already failed to elicit a raised eyebrow from the average American (Nicholas Confessore has a great article about the power of K Street lobbying on exactly this topic). But somehow the flood of money back and forth between corporations and the White House seems wholly natural to most Americans. Care to lay odds that you'll hear about this as an election issue? I'll give you 10-1 against. I was recently chastized for turning to the sports card, but what'cha gonna do? In the 107th meeting of the Civil War, the Oregon Ducks beat the Oregon State Beavers, salvaging a pretty good year. Congratulations, Ducks!
Friday, November 21, 2003 It looks like I'm not going to get an edition of Friday Satire up today, due to busy-ness. ANd so, let me ask you all something by way of misdirection. What are your favorite blogs? I've been bogged down lately by not being able to discover any new ones. There are just too many, and predictably, most aren't that interesting to me (blogs by their nature being idiosyncratic). But maybe someone else has some suggestions. Seen anything I should know about?
Well, this was inevitable: After months of sustained attacks against President Bush in Democratic primary debates and commercials, the Republican Party is responding this week with its first advertisement of the presidential race, portraying Mr. Bush as fighting terrorism while his potential challengers try to undermine him with their sniping....
The NY Times paperback nonfiction list demonstrates that America is Cuckoo for Kucinich.
The ground for justifying the Iraq war diminishes by the day. That, of course, does not stall the President's confidence--no matter how well or badly things are going, he's convinced invasion was the proper course of action. Our shared work of democracy in Afghanistan and Iraq is essential to the defeat of global terrorism. The spread of freedom and the hope it brings is the surest way in the long-term to combat despair and anger and resentment that feeds terror. The advance of freedom and hope in the greater Middle East will better the lives of millions of that region, and increase the security of our own people. Before the war, there were several half-assed arguments: WMD, oppression, Al Qaeda links, and spreading democracy. All but the notion of spreading democracy have proven to have been formulations based on bad, raw data mined from the CIA--or outright lies--and now he's left with this "spreading democracy" argument. But no matter how blithely he expresses confidence that the ripples of equality and liberty are spreading throughout the Mideast, reality holds the trump card. Bombings in Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq show that the opposite is happening: fanatacism is spreading.
Thursday, November 20, 2003 Last night, Stephen King was honored at the National Book Awards for his "Distinguished Contribution to American Letters." It was a controversial selection; past winners have included Arthur Miller and Philip Roth, but also Oprah Winfrey (1999). So, is this an appalling sell-out by a media-funded foundation (as the National Book Foundation is), or an admirable nod of the head to a man who has, if not exactly enriched the American literary canon, at least promoted it? Well, to this question, we have a fairly clear answer: sell out. It appears the National Book Foundation was trying to get a little press. (It worked.) From a Times article two months ago: In interviews board members and the executive director of the foundation said they chose to honor Mr. King for a host of reasons: his storytelling skill, his promotion of less-established writers, his donations to libraries and schools and the sheer volume of his work, which has found a multitude of readers. Although the honor denotes a contribution to American letters, several board members said they also considered the cultural influence of his many works adapted for film and television....
A subsequent question--and a more interesting one--is: so what? Why should we care about whether the publishers of American literature are selling out? It's partly interesting because it's at the heart of a culture war. You would expect the King selection to ignite delicious derision from the likes of Harold Bloom, and you'd be right. So: THE DECISION to give the National Book Foundation's annual award for "distinguished contribution" to Stephen King is extraordinary, another low in the shocking process of dumbing down our cultural life. I've described King in the past as a writer of penny dreadfuls, but perhaps even that is too kind. He shares nothing with Edgar Allan Poe. What he is is an immensely inadequate writer on a sentence-by-sentence, paragraph-by-paragraph, book-by-book basis. The publishing industry has stooped terribly low to bestow on King a lifetime award that has previously gone to the novelists Saul Bellow and Philip Roth and to playwright Arthur Miller. By awarding it to King they recognize nothing but the commercial value of his books, which sell in the millions but do little more for humanity than keep the publishing world afloat. If this is going to be the criterion in the future, then perhaps next year the committee should give its award for distinguished contribution to Danielle Steel, and surely the Nobel Prize for literature should go to J.K. Rowling. But it's not just that culture wars are fun--there's something else here. Bloom can be dismissed, at least partly, because he refuses to admit that there are writers not educated at Oxford or Harvard who are every bit a match to his beloved Kipling and Keats (all right, maybe not Keats), and that some of them have pushed literature back towards pop fiction. Bloom's always been at the center of things because he loves to conflate culture and the arts, and people love to attack him for it.
Lilith Devlin takes Republicans to task for their misuse of the word "lynching." In this case, the conservatives' repeated use of the word "lynching" to describe legitimate parliamentary opposition to administration nominees (many of whom themselves have dubious racial skeletons in their professional closets) is designed for one reason only: to attempt to paint Democrats, who in the last century have represented the interests of people of color far more thoroughly and consistently than the GOP, as racists. Of course, they all - and Hatch and Rove in particular - seem blessedly oblivious of any sense of the irony in using "lynching" to describe opposing a white Protestant male from Mississippi. Good stuff. Wednesday, November 19, 2003 Look at this and see if you can identify a pattern:
A few more words on gay marriage (but not by me).
Snow!
The Bush visit gives English newspapers an opportunity to review his presidency. I spent some time this morning reviewing what they're saying.
Seventy-five words about gay marriage
Tuesday, November 18, 2003 Hey, are any of you getting this email from Krugman's publicist? Apparently he's alerted them to the fact that we in the blogosphere follow his pronouncements fairly closely--which is fine, as he follows ours, too. Dear Friends,
I really hope they sent this email to Tom. No doubt he's off donating copies at the local library now. (That's Tom Maguire, the anti-Krugman, who has his usual Tuesday Krugman post up. All right, no more links for you.) Via a network of bloggers (link train below), we learned yesterday that Wes Clark and Fox News tangled on Sunday (or yesterday?). I've been a little hard on Clark, but the way he handled this exchange was extraordinary, and may offer a solution to the constant spin of the media. Listen (edited for brevity; link to full transcript below): FOX: On the Meet the Press you said something about Iraq. You said "President Bush has said (the war in Iraq) is the centerpiece for the war on terror. It isn't. It's a sideshow. It's simply their easiest means of access to attack American soldiers. That's all it is." You really think that Iraq is only a sideshow?
What's remarkable here is that Clark managed two things: he understood 1) what was being misrepresented, and 2) why. Fox was playing the old "you ain't no stinkin' patriot" game, hoping Clark would back off his statements. I imagine it's hard in the moment to identify how you're being duped and respond to the smear behind the fake question (Dean's been caught a number of times). But Clark did exactly the right thing: he identified the smear, called Fox on it, and embarrassed them into backing off. I hope liberals and Democratic candidates take notice of this; it's a winning strategy to beating the slimeball tactics of Fox and Co.
Has Tom Maguire gone Cuckoo for Kucinich? I think not: he's just trying to get the radicals on Dean's case to stop what he clearly feels is a juggernaut headed straight at his listing Prez. Yet Kucinich himself isn't even targeting Dean: He told of collecting the pictures of soldiers killed in Vietnam from their families, so the paper could use them for obituaries. “This is the moment,” he said, using his now-familiar campaign phrase, “where we can reconnect with the world community,” noting in a nod to the rest of the field, “every candidate is ready to go forward to create a new America.” Exiting the stage area he flashed the audience a peace sign. And not only that, but Tom's got the wrong juggernaut. There is indeed a moving trailer reserved with 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. written on the "destination" line, but it ain't Dean whose gonna be drivin'. We Kucitizens are merely lying in wait to spring the revolution on America come February. Deanies will then get on board the DK truck...
Dick Cheney met secretly with his energy cronies and refused to tell Congress what they talked about. Republicans met privately and drafted a 1,700-page energy bill that they only on Saturday let Democrats see. And Republicans have scheduled exactly one hour for Democrats to debate this legislation today. So who's responsible for this train-wreck legislation?
Monday, November 17, 2003 I want to bring a case to your attention with as much sensitivity as I can. Yesterday, a 37-year-old man was removed from a ventilator. The reason this is significant is that he was on the ventilator because the State of Oregon cut his state-paid epilepsy medication in the midst of our budget crisis, sending him into seizure and causing massive brain damage.
Schmidt's seizure came a month after he and thousands of other Oregonians lost their prescription-drug benefit because of state budget cuts. In Schmidt's case, the state stopped paying for two drugs, including Lamictal, an antiseizure medication that costs $13 a day. He ran out of pills eight to 10 days before his seizure, his family said.
This is the kind of governance you get when the idealogues control the conversation--whether they be leaders in the Taliban or nuts like McIntire. The worst part is, it's unlikely he or any of those failed lawmakers will ever be held to account. Somehow, they'll still try to blame it on Democratic mismanagement. "My goal, should I become president, is to keep the peace.... I intend to do so by strengthening alliances, which says, 'America cannot go alone.' We must be peacemakers, not peacekeepers."
Well said and astute: On his visit to London this week, President Bush is likely to be greeted by as many as 100,000 demonstrators objecting to the United States' policy in Iraq.
Conference miscellania
There's an absurd scene in Scarface when a heavily coked Pacino is riddled by four hundred bullets. The fire dies down, and Pacino looks out at his surprised attackers and screams, "I'm still standin here! I'm still standin here!" Roughly speaking, this is how I've felt as a liberal in America for the past few years. Maybe you have, too.
Sunday, November 16, 2003 Update on the American Consensus project.
Thursday, November 13, 2003 Hey everybody, let's put on a show!
The American Consensus
A friend of mine asked me today who was more prevalent in the blogosphere--righties or lefties. It's an interesting question, because statistics don't really give you the full picture. Righties are probably disproportionately represented among the most popular political blogs. This is partly because reasonable righties attract lefties; lefties rarely attract any righties. The blogosphere itself is, I think, far more liberal (two-thirds of blogs are left leaning, more?). But really, influence is the most important dimension.
Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-TN) has a poll up on his website asking about Senate nominees. The poll is worded in a completely loaded way, of course, asking: "Should the Senate exercise its Constitutional duty to provide the President's judicial nominees with an up or down vote?"
Obviously, this is reflective of nothing more than organization on the left flooding the system. Seems like the liberals are rallying the troops far more effectively--which in itself is somewhat instructive. Wes Clark wants to team with the Saudis to defeat Al Qaida. Hmmm. I'll admit that when I was in school, I was generally reading about Tolstoy and Mahavira--not foreign policy. That said, I'm pretty sure this is a really bad idea. Let's start with the obvious: what is the best-case outcome? The Saudis are going to root out Osama? Apparently, that's what Clark is thinking: General Clark said the joint United States-Saudi commando force would be similar to groups formed by the American military and police forces in Colombia while he oversaw United States military operations in Latin America. Again: hmmm. Columbia's our model for success with this scheme? I'm still not seeing the wisdom.
Wednesday, November 12, 2003
It is my plan, beginning next week (time frame to be explained tomorrow), to try to be a better blog citizen. I don't do as much posting about other people's posting as I should. I love getting exposure of other blogs, and what's good for the goose and all that.
Only a few of the 116,000 private sector jobs created in October provide good incomes: 6,000 new positions in legal services and accounting--activities that reflect corporations gearing up to protect their top executives from Sarbanes-Oxley.
"I'm torn about it also because there is, in fact, an important and true point in the essay. I’d put the point this way: we’re in danger of undervaluing virtues like courage and self-reliance that are traditionally thought of as masculine. Now, I’d add—though du Toit might not--that for almost all of human history we’ve done just the reverse, undervaluing virtues like kindness and cooperation that are traditionally thought of as feminine. I'm not sure I agree. While there's ample evidence to support a thesis of the feminization of culture, there's ample evidence to support just about anything. We exist in the age of analysis (not, probably, information), and every idea has its day, every meme its moment. The feminization theory is one of the more potent because its promoted across the vast right-wing conspiracy.
Even when George Will talks about movies, he's wrong. Yesterday he pontificated on the nature of good casting and race, arguing that Anthony Hopkins was a reasonable choice to play Coleman Silk in The Human Stain because, well, isn't the whole point to riff on race? But jamming a very bad analogy into a prepacked defense of conservative "colorblind" race politics doesn't make Hopkins a good choice. Coleman Silk, as we're told in Roth's novel, is a sinewy, lightfooted former New York boxer (seems like he's even a lightweight, if I recall correctly). Forget race: earth-bound, clomping, chunky Hopkins fits none of those bills. Quoyle in the Shipping News would have been a good choice, and no one would confuse Quoyle and Silk. But then, art and ideology are a poor fit.
Following up on that filibuster post, I just read Kristof, who touches on a similar point. But although I find his thoughts to be among the most careful and insightful--and least reactionary--being written, I think he's off the mark today. It's a kitchen-sink post that conflates a couple of very key issues. His main point is that anger is bad for the Democrats--they need to have a positive message to give to the public. This is a good point, and one I've made before--anger alone isn't a platform. The left should have learned from Newt Gingrich that rage impedes understanding — and turns off voters. That's why President Bush was careful in 2000, unlike many in his party, to project amiability and optimism. But what Kristof fails to distinguish is that authentic anger is a very different thing than mock outrage. Newt Gingrich was swept into office precisely because of his anger. His mistake wasn't in getting angry, it was in not cooling off and moving to the people's business.
While the Democrats filibuster, the Republicans will howl. It will be the superbowl of spin. Racism, obsrtuctionism, partisanism--all will be trundled out to win the battle behind the battle. Over the past 3 years, it's something on the order of Republicans 297 and Dems nothing. Maybe it's finally time that America regards the Dems as something other than treasonous dogs: Bush's decisions thus far haven't been exactly red-hot. Maybe America is willing to trust the Dems' judgment on this one.
Tuesday, November 11, 2003 A couple of Veteran's Day thoughts
The Military Oil Complex
Monday, November 10, 2003 Dean tried to raise the issue of race and started a firestorm. How about some cold, hard stats: Exit polls released Monday help explain Republican gubernatorial victories last week, finding that Haley Barbour overcame high black turnout with overwhelming support from whites in Mississippi while Ernie Fletcher capitalized on ill will toward the scandal-plagued Democratic incumbent in Kentucky....
Dean's right: the Democrats have effectively bought into the southern strategy by not appealing to non-racist whites. Because of the population advantage, whites voting together control the results. Right now they're voting for very conservative Republicans. If the Dems make some inroads into that population (winning, say a third of them), they can win some key states. The Republicans were quick to characterize the results in Mississippi and Kentucky as harbingers of 2004. I think they're right: Looking ahead to 2004, pluralities of around 45 percent in both states said they definitely would vote for Bush if the presidential election were today while about 35 percent definitely would vote for someone else. Those who haven't firmly made up their minds comprised 20 percent of the gubernatorial electorate in Kentucky and 17 percent in Mississippi.
Bush is polling at 45% in the heart of his base? Yeah, that's a harbinger, all right... You've all seen this exchange over on Tom Tomorrow's site, right? The issue at hand is that the adminstration is illegally refusing to give 17 POWs from the first Iraq debacle money owed to them in damages. Bushy boy, that paragon of compassion, ain't paying. Instead, he's apparently siphoning it off to the "rebuilidng."
MR. McCLELLAN: I'm coming to your question. Believe me, I am. Let me finish. Let me start over again, though. No amount of money can truly compensate these brave men and women for the suffering that they went through at the hands of a very brutal regime, at the hands of Saddam Hussein. It was determined earlier this year by Congress and the administration that those assets were no longer assets of Iraq, but they were resources required for the urgent national security needs of rebuilding Iraq. But again, there is simply no amount of compensation that could ever truly compensate these brave men and women. I guess, since nothing can truly compensate--well, great! Nothing's what you get. The full exchange is remarkable: McClellan rolls out the "brave men and women suffering at the hands of a brutal regime" schtick about fifty times--that is, whenever a reporter repeats the question, "so what you're saying is that you're stiffing them, right?"
Whether or not Dennis Kucinich becomes the Democratic nominee, his Department of Peace proposal is worth serious consideration. By the fall of 2004, we'll have had 3 years of a wholly war-based strategy to defeat terror. No matter how well things go over the next year, the results of this strategy will fall far short of the hawks' promises at the outset. What should be clear after these three years is that guns alone can't defeat terrorism. Defense and security measures will remain as important as ever, but there needs to be another dimension in the effort to diffuse terror.
The election in Guatemala is heartening: even in situations as corrupt as that one, the voters have had their say. Not that the situations are (even roughly) equivalent, but American voters should take some heart in this--it is possible to make change when you work together.
A pro-business former mayor of the capital was leading Guatemala's presidential elections, while an ex-dictator accused of human rights abuses was trailing in third place, according to preliminary results released Monday.
Sunday, November 09, 2003 Interesting bit on the "Reagans" miniseries in the local paper today:
Portions of the script leaked to the media in October, spurring a fury among conservative activists determined to protect Reagan's legacy. A fictionalized scene showing Reagan dismissing his wife's urging that he fund AIDS treatment ("They that live in sin shall die in sin," he responds) sparked particular outrage.
Saturday, November 08, 2003 There's some really amazing stuff in the blogosphere. I don't know why, but I get caught up writing so much that sometimes I don't stop to enjoy the riches of other people's minds. Do yourself a favor and follow a few (or all) of these links--all of it's great stuff.
Friday, November 07, 2003 Well, this was unavoidable (by which I mean my mockery).
While I'm passing off other people's analyses, I just got this from a friend. Unlike me, he is an economist, so he does know what he's talking about. And no, don't expect that level of quality and responsibility in the future. Because the White House is in charge, the media and the public are quick to draw cause and effect conclusions to fiscal policy and economic performance of the nation. But while fiscal policy has a lot to do with the subtle machinations of the economy, the big boom and bust cycles have a lot of
Who knew? Eli Pariser is 22 and "works from his bedroom." Yeah, that Eli Pariser. posted by Jeff | 7:38 AM |Empty Horse? That's what a friend of mine suggested the new--and immediately contested--"partial birth" abortion law is. I think he may be right.
Thursday, November 06, 2003 Interesting:
Iraqi officials, including the chief of the Iraqi Intelligence Service, had told the businessman that they wanted Washington to know that Iraq no longer had weapons of mass destruction, and they offered to allow American troops and experts to conduct a search. The businessman said in an interview that the Iraqis also offered to hand over a man accused of being involved in the World Trade Center bombing in 1993 who was being held in Baghdad. At one point, he said, the Iraqis pledged to hold elections....
Risen was also on NPR this morning discussing the story. Analysis to come...
Pew has a new report out on the political landscape at the one-year-out point. It's a data wonk's dream: demographics, voting trend predictions; findings on policy opinions, trust in government, patriotism, religion, civil liberties, and on and on.
Republicans have made notable gains in a number of key swing states. Michigan, Minnesota and Iowa three Midwestern states Al Gore won in 2000 by very slight margins have all experienced significant shifts in party ID toward the GOP. And the five-point advantage enjoyed by Democrats in Florida in the run-up to the 2000 election has evaporated. In polling since Sept 11, 2001, 37% of Floridians call themselves Republicans, 36% Democrats.
Democrats
As any blogger knows, being flamed is a sign of respect--it means your arguments are getting through. I guess Dean should feel mighty respected right about now. Doesn't say much for John Kerry, though:
Democrat John Kerry accused presidential rival Howard Dean of lacking principles and flip-flopping on key issues Thursday, hoping to convert the front-runner's fumble over the Confederate flag into a sweeping indictment of Dean's policies and personality.
People seem to be responding much as I did to the controversy over Dean's "confederate flag" comment. The verdict seems to be bonehead, not racist.
For some people, the Confederate flag is a loathsome symbol. But we all know what Dean meant. And we know Dean is not a racist.
Democratic presidential candidate Al Sharpton is shooting from the lip again, and it doesn't help his cause or his constituency....
Maybe so, but Mr. Sharpton's persistent appeals to racial solidarity are a double-edged sword for his party, too.
The piling on of Dean for racial insensitivity, with Sharpton leading the charge, runs the risk of looking way out of proportion to the original offense. Dean should have said he wants to represent Joe Sixpack or the average Southern Joe. That is what he meant taken in the context of similar remarks over the course of the last year.
Now, Dr. Dean is going to have to demonstrate that his Confederate flag moment was a one-shot, recoverable gaffe and not a symptom of something more haunting, like a pattern of misspeaking or a hardheaded combativeness that makes it impossible to give way with grace. He obviously is no racist, and no one who criticized the flag comment imagined that he is. But he waded unthinkingly into an issue that almost anyone experienced in national politics knows must be handled with great care.
Politics in intelligence--a new part of the American way? Well, in the case of the leaked memo, I think this is a situation of transference. It's a bit like the flap over Dean--where something said is perverted to mean its opposite, then vilified. Everything I've found in that memo looks like an attempt to get over the political hurdle already put in place by the Republicans.
"Once we identify solid leads the majority does not want to pursue, we would attract more coverage and have greater credibility in that context than one in which we simply launch an independent investigation based on principled but vague notions regarding the use of intelligence."
Wednesday, November 05, 2003 Even as I was predicting a Dean victory last night, he might have been watching the implosion of his campaign. Due to, of course, the now-famous "I still want to be the candidate for guys with Confederate flags in their pickup trucks" comment. In American politics, you can survive almost anything--except being called a racist.
Sharpton: "First of all, Martin Luther King said, 'Come to the table of brotherhood.' You can't bring a Confederate flag to the table of brotherhood."
"At its best, [it's] violently exciting; at its worst, banal and monotonous."
Where's the outrage about war profiteering? Last week, while I ruminated that Congress should put limits on the amounts companies make on war, Republicans were busily dismantling that very provision from the Iraq spending bill.
U.S. fraud statutes protect against waste of tax dollars at home, but none expressly prohibit war profiteering and none expressly confer extraterritorial jurisdiction overseas. The Leahy-Feinstein-Durbin amendment would criminalize "war profiteering" -- overcharging taxpayers for any good or service with the specific intent to excessively profit from the war or reconstruction efforts in Iraq. The bill also prohibits fraud and false statements in any matter involving a contract or the provision of goods or services in Iraq. These new crimes would be felonies, subject to criminal penalties of up to 20 years in prison and fines of up to $1 million or twice the illegal gross profits of the crime. Leahy described it as "strong and focused sanctions" that are narrowly tailored to criminalize and create tough criminal penalties for fraud or excessive profiteering in contracts, here and abroad, related to the war or reconstruction efforts in Iraq.
Tuesday, November 04, 2003 All right folks, here it is: one year until we elect the next President. From here on out, things are going to start to mean something. As you all know, I'm a Kucinich supporter. But, as someone who holds reality in some esteem, I'm also aware his odds are long. And so, for the historical record, here's my prediction:
Bad news and good news on the jobs front. Medicine before candy:
NEW YORK (AP) -- Job cuts announced by U.S. companies more than doubled in October from the previous month, providing more evidence that the nation's economy is in a period of jobless expansion, according to a report from an outplacement firm.
Members of the United Food and Commercial Workers Local 655 ended a 24-day labor dispute Friday morning when they voted overwhelmingly — 82 percent — to accept a new 47-month contract. They returned to work Saturday.
Democracy is saved:
Barraged by accusations from conservatives that it was distorting the legacy of a president, CBS announced Tuesday it was pulling "The Reagans" miniseries off the air.
While I'm thumbing through the Post (so to speak), I'm noticing a meme. Listen:
BIRMINGHAM, Nov. 3 -- President Bush on Monday blamed the ongoing guerrilla attacks in Iraq on terrorists trying to intimidate the United States, and he vowed to "never run" from the mounting chaos and casualties.
When the Bushies say they want the bad news put in perspective, do they really mean they don't want it reported at all?
The single most striking impression from watching Bush in his session with White House reporters was the president's defensiveness. Barely two weeks ago, the White House set out to "correct" the negative cast it said the Washington press corps had placed on Iraq with a series of upbeat statements from Bush, Vice President Cheney and other top officials.
Kucinich answered questions online today at the Post. Mostly familiar stuff, but I enjoyed his comment on Israel. I've italicized a couple sentences I found particularly trenchant.
Rep. Dennis J. Kucinich: It is urgent for the United States to become closely involved in the efforts to reach a peaceful agreement which protects Israel and which provides for the creation of an autonomous Palestinian state. Additionally, such an agreement must call for the rebuilding of the Palestinian areas which have been devastated. The US can help to lead the way in such an agreement by participating in rebuilding housing, schools, hospitals, businesses, roads and other infrastructure. This is necessary because economic stability is a precondition of political stability. The US must foster a climate of negotiation so that the Palestinians and the Israelis can come to an agreement of the sharing of water rights and on provision of mutual security. Such agreements would engender trust and confidence building and create the possibility where the parties can then deal with the issues of borders and right of return. I believe the government of Israel can help take a step in the direction of setting the stage for negotiations by stopping the building of new settlements and by ceasing in the building of walls. The United States lost an opportunity to bring peace to the region when it decided to wage war against Iraq. We must be mindful that the cause of peace is difficult to advance if we simultaneously are pursuing war. My administration will take the initiative in peacebuilding.
Monday, November 03, 2003 According to Tariq Aziz, the thing Saddam Hussein was hiding was not chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons. It was those missiles that violated the 93-mile limit. Fearful of being caught in defiance of the UN's ban on WMD, Hussein abandoned them, according to Aziz, but felt that the missile limit threatened his sovereignty.
After nearly five months of prisoner interviews, document searches and site visits, "We know the regime had the greatest problem with the 150-kilometer limit" on missile ranges, said Hamish Killip, a former U.N. arms inspector now working with the Iraq Survey Group, a CIA-supervised body appointed by President Bush to lead the hunt for Iraqi weapons of mass destruction. Hussein and his most senior military commanders saw the range limit "as an invasion of their sovereignty," Killip added. They fumed because hostile neighbors might hit Baghdad with missiles, but Iraq would be unable to answer in kind.
Chalk one up for the constitution:
"The Supreme Court refused Monday to enter the long-running fight over an enormous monument depicting the Ten Commandments and the renegade judge who wants to keep the biblical list on display in an Alabama courthouse.
Seemed like a no-brainer, but the bizarro world reality has begun to shake my confidence.
Despite my low opinion of the "controversy," it's becoming a big deal. I'm talking about the CBS miniseries about the Reagans, of course. Now it seems that irate (and oversensitive) righties have organized a boycott of the series.
[Apropos of the irresponsibility meme I'm trying to start, here's a piece I wrote for Open Source Politics last week. It seems to have struck a bit of a chord. Apologies to all who have read it, if any such rare beings exist.]
While Halliburton has had to counter many accusations since the Pentagon first announced the contract, the company has certainly benefited from the dangerous assignment in Iraq. Revenues neared $4.15 billion in the period, up from $2.98 billion last year, largely because of the work in Iraq.
In other U.S. wars, though, a national consensus developed that it is obscene to profiteer -- to prosper outrageously, scandalously -- on the patriotic sacrifice of others. Cartoonists' caricatures of this type of corporate Croesus changed remarkably little in the century between the Civil War and the Korean War. He was portrayed as a homburg-hatted, boutonniere-vested, gold-pocket-watch-flaunting, cane-waving, cigar-chomping, porcine plutocrat -- a self-dealing gouger.
It's unavoidable that the Democrats will be running against the President--as much as for their own coherent platform. Runs against incumbents are always to some degree a referendum on that person's performance. This year, though, the press are quicker to finger Dems for sullied motives. Even with failures mounting, Bush's nimbus as war leader remains partially intact. So if the Dems want to beat Bush on his record, I'd recommend crafting a message that doesn't attack him personally, but which encompasses his failures as a whole. How about calling his policies irresponsible?
Sunday, November 02, 2003 Here we are late in the college football season, when the football fan's fancy turns to the faults of the BCS. We now have nine teams with one loss in the top 25 (and an uncomfortably undefeated TCU) to compete with Oklahoma. There will be fewer by season's end but, presumably, more than one. Thus will begin the annual call for playoffs.
Saturday, November 01, 2003 Nice:
Worried about how former president Ronald Reagan and his wife, Nancy, are portrayed in an upcoming CBS miniseries, the Republican Party asked the network Friday to submit the program to historians for review or label it as not historically accurate.
In the comments to yesterday's satirical Memo, a reader named Katie posted a fairly interesting comment. Thought I'd just place it here in the main blog. Following are a few thoughts.
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