| Notes on the Atrocities Like a 100-watt radio station, broadcasting to the dozens... |
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Saturday, November 29, 2003 [Zipping off for an impromtu trip to Seattle. So I leave you with a little Friday Satire--a day late.]
Friday, November 28, 2003 Maybe we can all put down our swords long enough to regard Krugman's column today neutrally. Digging around for economic positives, he pointed at the growth of developing economies as a result of globalization. It's not a position a lot of lefties are that comfortable with, but I strongly agree with his main thesis. As we know, I'm no ecomonist, but I do have some personal experience with developing economies. Between 1988 and 1999, I spent about two years over four visits in India (studying not econ, but religion and language). From personal experience, I've seen the benefits of free markets.
Thursday, November 27, 2003 What do lefties have to be thankful for? Look beyond the obvious blessings in our own lives, and there's not a whole lot (certainly not that Green Bay game!). You can parse this question a lot of ways to drum up some good news, but I'd like to play it a little differently. Instead of praising the good bones of the country (the Constitution) or the good candidates we have on our side (gooooooo Dennis!), the thing I'm thankful for isn't even a widely acknowledged phenomenon.
Wednesday, November 26, 2003 One of the most senior British judges has criticized China's treatment of prisoners. He said on Tuesday that they were being held: "beyond the rule of law, beyond the protection of any courts. The procedural rules do not prohibit the use of force to coerce the prisoners to confess. It's not quite torture but at close as you can get. As a lawyer brought up to admire the ideals of ... democracy and justice I would have to say that I regard this as a monstrous failure of justice." The judge is considering urging sanctions on the rogue nation. "It may be appropriate to pose a question - ought our government to make plain publicly and unambiguously our condemnation of [this] utter lawlessness." Just kidding. He was actually talking about the US's treatment of prisoners at Guantanamo. Stinkin' Brits--what kinda lousy friends are you, huh? Oh, that's right, you're our only friends. You know what would cheer me up? A nice screening of "Bad Santa." posted by Jeff | 12:52 PM |All right, I'm a dirty, rotten liar. Not only did I not manage to stay away from politics, but here I am posting again. It began innocently: I just stopped by Site Meter to see what the hits were looking like (I don't know about other bloggers, but I'm drawn irresistably to see who's coming by the blog), and then I noticed a fair amount of traffic from Nathan Newman's site. Another innocent click (I'm on the slippery slope now) and I see that he's posted a response to my response to his post yesterday. (Clear?) So here we are. Emma joins in disputing the idea that the Medicare bill is anything good for progressives, citing the popular E.J. Dionne essay a lot of folks are linking to. She sees the loss on the bill as being "about kicking the prone body of the Democrats in the head."
Nathan's point is perfectly reasonable, as is the analysis he links to by Liberal Oasis. But the reason I'm not ultimately convinced by it is the same reason I'm in a grim mood today--I think the rules have changed. Time and again, Republicans have shown they'll pass legislation that will damage the country and be wildly unpopular so long as it solidifies their position in power. Tax cuts that benefit their donors, regressive legislation that damages workers, the environment, and free trade but benefits PACs and corporate donors, a cynical war that plays a political role and benefits private contractors long connected to the White House (and who are, of course, donors): none of it makes sense by the old calculation of poll-based victory. But they don't care about popularity.
I'm not sure why my radio is tuned into NPR. Waking up to news of the Bush Administration's activities is a kind of sado-masochism. This morning, news that the Labor Department is putting the screws to unions--in what amounts to a bureaucratic assault. Death by paperwork. I then followed up this fine bit of self-flaggelation by reading the lovely LA Times' Wal-Mart series. This of course follows the hangover I got from Medicare debacle . All in all, a damn fine week.
Tuesday, November 25, 2003 This is a bit obscure, but if you're dying for a description of Oregon tax and budgetary issues, I've got one at the Oregon Blog. It's one reason posting has been a bit skimpy here--I'm spending a lot of time blogging for even fewer people. I'm an eejit. posted by Jeff | 4:10 PM |Some folks think the Medicare bill isn't so bad. Not to dispute with the estimable Drum and Newman, but it's not only bad--it's a nightmare.
If anyone doubted the rules had changed, House Republican leaders ended all illusions in the early hours of Saturday morning by holding open a 15-minute roll call vote for an unprecedented two hours and 51 minutes. At the end of the normal time for voting, Republican leaders faced defeat on the drug bill by a two-vote margin. Eventually, two Republicans were hammered into switching their votes....
Normally I don't want to look like an alarmist, but now it's time to be alarmed. The calculation has changed, folks. Darth is in power, and the Empire is marching (on those spindly walker-legs) right at the rebels. We've got two choices: pull ourselves together and fight ,or continue to screw around and be wiped out. Seriously.
I've been following the MSNBC candidate "embeds" fairly closely. They have a bit of a unscripted bloggish quality. For the most part, following around a candidate has had the effect of turning the embedded reporter into a bit of a booster--or at least a sympathizer. So it was with interest that I noticed the Kerry piece this morning regarding last night's debate: I spent just a few moments after the debate with Kerry. I asked him how it went and he gave the obligatory “really well” answer. Then he said he wished he had had more time to talk about the issues. I asked him what he felt he missed and he said “talking about terror.” David Wade explained that he wanted to talk more about terrorism and his unique credentials to be commander in chief in this post-Sept. 11 world. As for the new, improved John Kerry, he was more focused on special interests and health care but I thought his appearance at this debate was like those in the past -- not a winner or a loser. Oy. That's a bit, ah, neutral, isn't it? I keep seeing articles talking about how Clark's history isn't littered with happy colleagues--but how about Kerry's campaign staff (and this embed)? Not particularly wowed by the senator, it seems.
Barbarians at the Gates: Royal officials are now in touch with the Queen's insurers and Prime Minister Tony Blair to find out who will pick up the massive repair bill. Palace staff said they had never seen the Queen so angry as when she saw how her perfectly-mantained lawns had been churned up after being turned into helipads with three giant H landing markings for the Bush visit.
Monday, November 24, 2003 Update on the American Consensus Documentary
You might have noticed that I've spent the day gingerly avoiding any talk of this Medicare bill. Trying to polish the apple by talking about draft dodging and Kucinich's immanent selection as the Dem candidate. It's because I'm a little to sick to write about it. (That's a metaphoric sickness, unlike the real sicknesses people will be more vulnerable to after this horrid beast goes through.) My own senator, who was before that my congressman, and who was before that a celebrated local politician in the People's Republic of Portland--even he couldn't be counted on to oppose this bill. (That's Ron Wyden, by the way.) Hesiod does a pretty good job of characterizing my feelings: R.I.P. DEMOCRATIC PARTY: Well...I may as well hang up my keyboard, and close down this blog.
The Democratic Party is in such disarray that the DNC is trying to lobby citizens to sign a petition blocking the legislation. Addressed to Bush and the GOP, the petition reads: Your Medicare privatization bill is a raw deal for America's seniors. I oppose your attempts to undermine Medicare through privatization, and I demand real health care reform and a real prescription drug benefit. It's time for you to scrap your bill written by the big drug companies and the big insurance companies and start over. Take the lead from Democrats and fight for real reform. Apparently the Dems didn't get the memo. Nice, the national party is trying to organize the people to oppose a horrible piece of legislation that the party itself doesn't even have the cojones to oppose. That's disarray. Even before the debate, aforementioned Wyden, along with Daschle and Feinstein, had declared they supported the legislation, so forget about hoping for a filibuster.
This morning, Josh Marshall notes that he's surprised at Dick Gephardt's strong numbers. When Gephardt threw his hat in the ring last November I mocked him rather mercilessly. But the biggest news I've seen of late was the early November Des Moines Register poll which showed Gephardt opening up a 7 point lead over Dean.
I'm not surprised. Even losing some support among unions, it was clear Gephardt was going to run a strong campaign. As much as we focus on polls, it's wise to remember that polls reflect far less well than infastructure--and Gephardt has a huge advantage there. In early October, I ranked the candidates based on how well they'd do in the primaries and general election (compared to each other). I had Gep ranked number two in the primaries. I think that still applies.
On Clark, a few weeks back I said that Clark had no campaign, no message, not no nuthin', but close. Now, he finally seems to have one. He's running ads, showing up on the shows -- the fundraising is decent. He gave a solid foreign policy speech and, in general, his operation is putting together a clear and consistent message. Below are revised rankings. First number is rank in the primaries, second is the rank in the general. For what it's worth, I think the only candidates who wouldn't beat Bush are Lieberman, Sharpton, and Braun.
Dean has admitted to dodging the draft. Is this a serious problem? Howard Dean, the front-runner for the Democratic presidential nomination, has admitted dodging the Vietnam draft, obtaining a medical deferment for a back condition and then spending 10 months skiing.
My guess is that this will be the most damaging in the primaries, but probably not particularly so even there. And in a general election, you could make the argument that it will work to his advantage. As the war in Iraq grows worse by the day, and stories of poor treatment of soldiers become more common, parallels between Iraq and Vietnam will become increasingly obvious. This will bring into sharp focus the judgment of a government who didn't seriously consider an optional war. Dean can point out that bad policy is bad policy, and it's not unreasonable for young men and women to want to avoid having to pay the price for the failures of arrogant chickenhawks. And of course, if Bush presses the draft-dodging issue too hard, he will open himself to criticisms of his own embarrassing military record. So I think Dean will weather this storm.
Saturday, November 22, 2003 There's quite a debate going on about the Dems and gay marriage at Open Source Politics, should you care to weigh in.
More than three dozen of President Bush's major fundraisers are affiliated with companies that stand to benefit from the passage of two central pieces of the administration's legislative agenda: the energy and Medicare bills.
This is, of course, not unreported and has already failed to elicit a raised eyebrow from the average American (Nicholas Confessore has a great article about the power of K Street lobbying on exactly this topic). But somehow the flood of money back and forth between corporations and the White House seems wholly natural to most Americans. Care to lay odds that you'll hear about this as an election issue? I'll give you 10-1 against. I was recently chastized for turning to the sports card, but what'cha gonna do? In the 107th meeting of the Civil War, the Oregon Ducks beat the Oregon State Beavers, salvaging a pretty good year. Congratulations, Ducks!
Friday, November 21, 2003 It looks like I'm not going to get an edition of Friday Satire up today, due to busy-ness. ANd so, let me ask you all something by way of misdirection. What are your favorite blogs? I've been bogged down lately by not being able to discover any new ones. There are just too many, and predictably, most aren't that interesting to me (blogs by their nature being idiosyncratic). But maybe someone else has some suggestions. Seen anything I should know about?
Well, this was inevitable: After months of sustained attacks against President Bush in Democratic primary debates and commercials, the Republican Party is responding this week with its first advertisement of the presidential race, portraying Mr. Bush as fighting terrorism while his potential challengers try to undermine him with their sniping....
The NY Times paperback nonfiction list demonstrates that America is Cuckoo for Kucinich.
The ground for justifying the Iraq war diminishes by the day. That, of course, does not stall the President's confidence--no matter how well or badly things are going, he's convinced invasion was the proper course of action. Our shared work of democracy in Afghanistan and Iraq is essential to the defeat of global terrorism. The spread of freedom and the hope it brings is the surest way in the long-term to combat despair and anger and resentment that feeds terror. The advance of freedom and hope in the greater Middle East will better the lives of millions of that region, and increase the security of our own people. Before the war, there were several half-assed arguments: WMD, oppression, Al Qaeda links, and spreading democracy. All but the notion of spreading democracy have proven to have been formulations based on bad, raw data mined from the CIA--or outright lies--and now he's left with this "spreading democracy" argument. But no matter how blithely he expresses confidence that the ripples of equality and liberty are spreading throughout the Mideast, reality holds the trump card. Bombings in Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq show that the opposite is happening: fanatacism is spreading.
Thursday, November 20, 2003 Last night, Stephen King was honored at the National Book Awards for his "Distinguished Contribution to American Letters." It was a controversial selection; past winners have included Arthur Miller and Philip Roth, but also Oprah Winfrey (1999). So, is this an appalling sell-out by a media-funded foundation (as the National Book Foundation is), or an admirable nod of the head to a man who has, if not exactly enriched the American literary canon, at least promoted it? Well, to this question, we have a fairly clear answer: sell out. It appears the National Book Foundation was trying to get a little press. (It worked.) From a Times article two months ago: In interviews board members and the executive director of the foundation said they chose to honor Mr. King for a host of reasons: his storytelling skill, his promotion of less-established writers, his donations to libraries and schools and the sheer volume of his work, which has found a multitude of readers. Although the honor denotes a contribution to American letters, several board members said they also considered the cultural influence of his many works adapted for film and television....
A subsequent question--and a more interesting one--is: so what? Why should we care about whether the publishers of American literature are selling out? It's partly interesting because it's at the heart of a culture war. You would expect the King selection to ignite delicious derision from the likes of Harold Bloom, and you'd be right. So: THE DECISION to give the National Book Foundation's annual award for "distinguished contribution" to Stephen King is extraordinary, another low in the shocking process of dumbing down our cultural life. I've described King in the past as a writer of penny dreadfuls, but perhaps even that is too kind. He shares nothing with Edgar Allan Poe. What he is is an immensely inadequate writer on a sentence-by-sentence, paragraph-by-paragraph, book-by-book basis. The publishing industry has stooped terribly low to bestow on King a lifetime award that has previously gone to the novelists Saul Bellow and Philip Roth and to playwright Arthur Miller. By awarding it to King they recognize nothing but the commercial value of his books, which sell in the millions but do little more for humanity than keep the publishing world afloat. If this is going to be the criterion in the future, then perhaps next year the committee should give its award for distinguished contribution to Danielle Steel, and surely the Nobel Prize for literature should go to J.K. Rowling. But it's not just that culture wars are fun--there's something else here. Bloom can be dismissed, at least partly, because he refuses to admit that there are writers not educated at Oxford or Harvard who are every bit a match to his beloved Kipling and Keats (all right, maybe not Keats), and that some of them have pushed literature back towards pop fiction. Bloom's always been at the center of things because he loves to conflate culture and the arts, and people love to attack him for it.
Lilith Devlin takes Republicans to task for their misuse of the word "lynching." In this case, the conservatives' repeated use of the word "lynching" to describe legitimate parliamentary opposition to administration nominees (many of whom themselves have dubious racial skeletons in their professional closets) is designed for one reason only: to attempt to paint Democrats, who in the last century have represented the interests of people of color far more thoroughly and consistently than the GOP, as racists. Of course, they all - and Hatch and Rove in particular - seem blessedly oblivious of any sense of the irony in using "lynching" to describe opposing a white Protestant male from Mississippi. Good stuff. Wednesday, November 19, 2003 Look at this and see if you can identify a pattern:
A few more words on gay marriage (but not by me).
Snow!
The Bush visit gives English newspapers an opportunity to review his presidency. I spent some time this morning reviewing what they're saying.
Seventy-five words about gay marriage
Tuesday, November 18, 2003 Hey, are any of you getting this email from Krugman's publicist? Apparently he's alerted them to the fact that we in the blogosphere follow his pronouncements fairly closely--which is fine, as he follows ours, too. Dear Friends,
I really hope they sent this email to Tom. No doubt he's off donating copies at the local library now. (That's Tom Maguire, the anti-Krugman, who has his usual Tuesday Krugman post up. All right, no more links for you.) Via a network of bloggers (link train below), we learned yesterday that Wes Clark and Fox News tangled on Sunday (or yesterday?). I've been a little hard on Clark, but the way he handled this exchange was extraordinary, and may offer a solution to the constant spin of the media. Listen (edited for brevity; link to full transcript below): FOX: On the Meet the Press you said something about Iraq. You said "President Bush has said (the war in Iraq) is the centerpiece for the war on terror. It isn't. It's a sideshow. It's simply their easiest means of access to attack American soldiers. That's all it is." You really think that Iraq is only a sideshow?
What's remarkable here is that Clark managed two things: he understood 1) what was being misrepresented, and 2) why. Fox was playing the old "you ain't no stinkin' patriot" game, hoping Clark would back off his statements. I imagine it's hard in the moment to identify how you're being duped and respond to the smear behind the fake question (Dean's been caught a number of times). But Clark did exactly the right thing: he identified the smear, called Fox on it, and embarrassed them into backing off. I hope liberals and Democratic candidates take notice of this; it's a winning strategy to beating the slimeball tactics of Fox and Co.
Has Tom Maguire gone Cuckoo for Kucinich? I think not: he's just trying to get the radicals on Dean's case to stop what he clearly feels is a juggernaut headed straight at his listing Prez. Yet Kucinich himself isn't even targeting Dean: He told of collecting the pictures of soldiers killed in Vietnam from their families, so the paper could use them for obituaries. “This is the moment,” he said, using his now-familiar campaign phrase, “where we can reconnect with the world community,” noting in a nod to the rest of the field, “every candidate is ready to go forward to create a new America.” Exiting the stage area he flashed the audience a peace sign. And not only that, but Tom's got the wrong juggernaut. There is indeed a moving trailer reserved with 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. written on the "destination" line, but it ain't Dean whose gonna be drivin'. We Kucitizens are merely lying in wait to spring the revolution on America come February. Deanies will then get on board the DK truck...
Dick Cheney met secretly with his energy cronies and refused to tell Congress what they talked about. Republicans met privately and drafted a 1,700-page energy bill that they only on Saturday let Democrats see. And Republicans have scheduled exactly one hour for Democrats to debate this legislation today. So who's responsible for this train-wreck legislation?
Monday, November 17, 2003 I want to bring a case to your attention with as much sensitivity as I can. Yesterday, a 37-year-old man was removed from a ventilator. The reason this is significant is that he was on the ventilator because the State of Oregon cut his state-paid epilepsy medication in the midst of our budget crisis, sending him into seizure and causing massive brain damage.
Schmidt's seizure came a month after he and thousands of other Oregonians lost their prescription-drug benefit because of state budget cuts. In Schmidt's case, the state stopped paying for two drugs, including Lamictal, an antiseizure medication that costs $13 a day. He ran out of pills eight to 10 days before his seizure, his family said.
This is the kind of governance you get when the idealogues control the conversation--whether they be leaders in the Taliban or nuts like McIntire. The worst part is, it's unlikely he or any of those failed lawmakers will ever be held to account. Somehow, they'll still try to blame it on Democratic mismanagement. "My goal, should I become president, is to keep the peace.... I intend to do so by strengthening alliances, which says, 'America cannot go alone.' We must be peacemakers, not peacekeepers."
Well said and astute: On his visit to London this week, President Bush is likely to be greeted by as many as 100,000 demonstrators objecting to the United States' policy in Iraq.
Conference miscellania
There's an absurd scene in Scarface when a heavily coked Pacino is riddled by four hundred bullets. The fire dies down, and Pacino looks out at his surprised attackers and screams, "I'm still standin here! I'm still standin here!" Roughly speaking, this is how I've felt as a liberal in America for the past few years. Maybe you have, too.
Sunday, November 16, 2003 Update on the American Consensus project.
Thursday, November 13, 2003 Hey everybody, let's put on a show!
The American Consensus
A friend of mine asked me today who was more prevalent in the blogosphere--righties or lefties. It's an interesting question, because statistics don't really give you the full picture. Righties are probably disproportionately represented among the most popular political blogs. This is partly because reasonable righties attract lefties; lefties rarely attract any righties. The blogosphere itself is, I think, far more liberal (two-thirds of blogs are left leaning, more?). But really, influence is the most important dimension.
Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-TN) has a poll up on his website asking about Senate nominees. The poll is worded in a completely loaded way, of course, asking: "Should the Senate exercise its Constitutional duty to provide the President's judicial nominees with an up or down vote?"
Obviously, this is reflective of nothing more than organization on the left flooding the system. Seems like the liberals are rallying the troops far more effectively--which in itself is somewhat instructive. Wes Clark wants to team with the Saudis to defeat Al Qaida. Hmmm. I'll admit that when I was in school, I was generally reading about Tolstoy and Mahavira--not foreign policy. That said, I'm pretty sure this is a really bad idea. Let's start with the obvious: what is the best-case outcome? The Saudis are going to root out Osama? Apparently, that's what Clark is thinking: General Clark said the joint United States-Saudi commando force would be similar to groups formed by the American military and police forces in Colombia while he oversaw United States military operations in Latin America. Again: hmmm. Columbia's our model for success with this scheme? I'm still not seeing the wisdom.
Wednesday, November 12, 2003
It is my plan, beginning next week (time frame to be explained tomorrow), to try to be a better blog citizen. I don't do as much posting about other people's posting as I should. I love getting exposure of other blogs, and what's good for the goose and all that.
Only a few of the 116,000 private sector jobs created in October provide good incomes: 6,000 new positions in legal services and accounting--activities that reflect corporations gearing up to protect their top executives from Sarbanes-Oxley.
"I'm torn about it also because there is, in fact, an important and true point in the essay. I’d put the point this way: we’re in danger of undervaluing virtues like courage and self-reliance that are traditionally thought of as masculine. Now, I’d add—though du Toit might not--that for almost all of human history we’ve done just the reverse, undervaluing virtues like kindness and cooperation that are traditionally thought of as feminine. I'm not sure I agree. While there's ample evidence to support a thesis of the feminization of culture, there's ample evidence to support just about anything. We exist in the age of analysis (not, probably, information), and every idea has its day, every meme its moment. The feminization theory is one of the more potent because its promoted across the vast right-wing conspiracy.
Even when George Will talks about movies, he's wrong. Yesterday he pontificated on the nature of good casting and race, arguing that Anthony Hopkins was a reasonable choice to play Coleman Silk in The Human Stain because, well, isn't the whole point to riff on race? But jamming a very bad analogy into a prepacked defense of conservative "colorblind" race politics doesn't make Hopkins a good choice. Coleman Silk, as we're told in Roth's novel, is a sinewy, lightfooted former New York boxer (seems like he's even a lightweight, if I recall correctly). Forget race: earth-bound, clomping, chunky Hopkins fits none of those bills. Quoyle in the Shipping News would have been a good choice, and no one would confuse Quoyle and Silk. But then, art and ideology are a poor fit.
Following up on that filibuster post, I just read Kristof, who touches on a similar point. But although I find his thoughts to be among the most careful and insightful--and least reactionary--being written, I think he's off the mark today. It's a kitchen-sink post that conflates a couple of very key issues. His main point is that anger is bad for the Democrats--they need to have a positive message to give to the public. This is a good point, and one I've made before--anger alone isn't a platform. The left should have learned from Newt Gingrich that rage impedes understanding — and turns off voters. That's why President Bush was careful in 2000, unlike many in his party, to project amiability and optimism. But what Kristof fails to distinguish is that authentic anger is a very different thing than mock outrage. Newt Gingrich was swept into office precisely because of his anger. His mistake wasn't in getting angry, it was in not cooling off and moving to the people's business.
While the Democrats filibuster, the Republicans will howl. It will be the superbowl of spin. Racism, obsrtuctionism, partisanism--all will be trundled out to win the battle behind the battle. Over the past 3 years, it's something on the order of Republicans 297 and Dems nothing. Maybe it's finally time that America regards the Dems as something other than treasonous dogs: Bush's decisions thus far haven't been exactly red-hot. Maybe America is willing to trust the Dems' judgment on this one.
Tuesday, November 11, 2003 A couple of Veteran's Day thoughts
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